"We have yet prepared the laws to rule the robots, but when will we see these robots working and walking shoulder to shoulder with us? According to the research scientist Hans Moravec this might happen 40 years from now. He describes computer intelligence in terms of animal intelligence. A typical home computer has 1000 MIPS, the equivalent of an insect. Due to the increase of computer power seen in the last years he created a time table for his predictions. According to him in 2040 we will see robots achieve human level intelligence (100,000,000 MIPS)."
"Year/
Processing power in MIPS - Intelligence equivalent /
Characteristics
---------
By 2010:
3,000MIPS - Lizard/
Basic navigation skills
By 2020:
100,000MIPS - Mouse
Learn jobs
- Adapting their own programs to perform more successfully
By 2030:
3,000,000MIPS - Monkey
General understanding of objects and their role
Interact with living things
Ability to read the moods of people
By 2040
100,000,000MIPS - Human(?!?)
Speak and understand speech
Think creatively
Anticipate the results of their actions"
:o
"2040 or later, the issue of robots intelligence is still under debate. Can we eventually reproduce the human brain activity in an electronic artificial way? Can we achieve intelligence and consciousness by simulating our brains activity? Intelligence means using the results of previous actions to complete an action — similar or different to the previous ones — in present. Consciousness means to be aware of our existence and actions."
Check http://www.cilu.as.ro/calculatoare/aic_introduction.php
to see original document...Jeez, I'll be in my seventies by then!
Kee-ripes! Better pre-order for a hot nursebot now while the going's good!
GZ
